Research
17d agoApple Research Finds LLMs Fail Bayesian Logic
The information processing gap reveals that LLMs fail to update probabilistic beliefs consistently when presented with new evidence. Researchers at Apple quantified these deviations from Bayes' rule across multiple models. This inconsistency limits the reliability of AI in high-stakes domains like medicine.
The Signal
Practitioners should avoid relying on LLMs for rigorous probabilistic reasoning.