Research
24d agoApple Finds LLMs Struggle With Bayesian Logic
Researchers at Apple identified an "information processing gap" where LLMs fail to update probabilistic beliefs consistently. The team measured how models deviate from Bayes' rule when presented with new evidence. These internal inconsistencies hinder rational decision-making in high-stakes fields like medicine.
The Signal
Practitioners should avoid relying on LLMs for precise probabilistic reasoning.