Policy
153d agoTracking AI Expert Predictions
A new initiative proposes a platform that records and evaluates the track records of leading AI experts, superforecasters, and frontier researchers, LessWrong and AI 2027. By moving beyond vague forecasts to precise, scoreable predictions, the site aims to reduce incentive distortion and sharpen public understanding of AI progress.
The Signal
The project could reshape policy debates and improve accountability worldwide.